YEARLY HIGH
359.5438 UGX
YEARLY LOW
285.2004 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
314.6907 UGX

2011 MOP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the MOP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 12, valuing the pair at 359.5438. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 30, dropping to 285.2004.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 74.3435 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 290.6843 to the December average rate of 305.9898, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.27% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 359.5438 was up 23.53% compared to the 2010 peak of 291.0526, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,797,719 UGX
2010 Average 1,361,138 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,426,002 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 371,717.30 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

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356.6554
284.6869
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 297.1696, compared to 332.2117 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 35.0420 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 297.1696
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 332.2117

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 37.4478 UGX (High: 359.5438 / Low: 322.0960). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.0412 UGX (High: 299.4910 / Low: 297.4498).

October Spread (Volatile) Âą37.4478
May Spread (Stable) Âą2.0412

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 27.4813 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -27.4813

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 349.1521) against the same month in 2010 (average: 283.1948), the exchange rate shifted by +65.9573 (+23.29%).

2011 Avg (October) 349.1521
2010 Avg (October) 283.1948

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Month High Low Average
January 298.6446 285.2004 290.6843
February 297.3508 287.7483 292.7857
March 302.5972 295.3769 299.0086
April 297.7875 291.0004 296.2374
May 299.4910 297.4498 298.4334
June 334.0017 297.9412 305.8684
July 325.5999 316.8818 322.6679
August 352.0851 325.5905 343.1313
September 358.0170 346.0992 350.6580
October 359.5438 322.0960 349.1521
November 328.6234 312.1130 321.6709
December 318.5374 294.5800 305.9898