2011 MOP to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

359.5438 UGX

YEARLY LOW

285.2004 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

314.6907 UGX

2011 MOP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the MOP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 12, valuing the pair at 359.5438. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 30, dropping to 285.2004.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 74.3435 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 290.6843 to the December average rate of 305.9898, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.27% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 359.5438 was up 23.53% compared to the 2010 peak of 291.0526, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,797,719 UGX

2010 Average 1,361,138 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,426,002 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 371,717.30 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

356.6554

284.6869

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 297.1696, compared to 332.2117 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 35.0420 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 297.1696

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 332.2117

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 37.4478 UGX (High: 359.5438 / Low: 322.0960). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.0412 UGX (High: 299.4910 / Low: 297.4498).

October Spread (Volatile) ±37.4478

May Spread (Stable) ±2.0412

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 27.4813 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -27.4813

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 349.1521) against the same month in 2010 (average: 283.1948), the exchange rate shifted by +65.9573 (+23.29%).

2011 Avg (October) 349.1521

2010 Avg (October) 283.1948

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	298.6446	285.2004	290.6843
February	297.3508	287.7483	292.7857
March	302.5972	295.3769	299.0086
April	297.7875	291.0004	296.2374
May	299.4910	297.4498	298.4334
June	334.0017	297.9412	305.8684
July	325.5999	316.8818	322.6679
August	352.0851	325.5905	343.1313
September	358.0170	346.0992	350.6580
October	359.5438	322.0960	349.1521
November	328.6234	312.1130	321.6709
December	318.5374	294.5800	305.9898