2026 MOP to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

468.6016 UGX

YEARLY LOW

430.7615 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

456.5899 UGX

2026 MOP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MOP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 17, valuing the pair at 468.6016. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 430.7615.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 37.8400 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 444.4799 to the December average rate of 458.1578, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.08% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 468.6016 was up 0.90% compared to the 2025 peak of 464.4121, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,343,008 UGX

2025 Average 2,243,088 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 2,153,808 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 189,200.14 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

469.0772

440.6779

JanuMarcMayJuly

MOP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 456.3286, compared to 458.1578 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.8292 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 456.3286

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 458.1578

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was March, with a trading range of 21.2827 UGX (High: 468.6016 / Low: 447.3189). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.7596 UGX (High: 467.8236 / Low: 463.0640).

March Spread (Volatile) ±21.2827

May Spread (Stable) ±4.7596

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 6.5021 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -6.5021

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 462.7356) against the same month in 2025 (average: 458.0779), the exchange rate shifted by +4.6576 (+1.02%).

2026 Avg (March) 462.7356

2025 Avg (March) 458.0779

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	451.5410	430.7615	444.4799
February	447.7198	439.0229	443.0445
March	468.6016	447.3189	462.7356
April	465.3185	456.6665	460.7927
May	467.8236	463.0640	466.7106
June	467.2363	450.8203	460.2085
July	466.6823	451.8221	458.1578