2018 MOP to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

483.6886 UGX

YEARLY LOW

450.0596 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

461.6209 UGX

2018 MOP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 483.6886. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 20, dropping to 450.0596.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 33.6290 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 452.0062 to the December average rate of 460.8840, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.96% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 483.6886 was up 5.96% compared to the 2017 peak of 456.4626, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,418,443 UGX

2017 Average 2,253,386 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 2,250,298 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 168,144.79 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

477.1206

449.3348

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 458.2462, compared to 464.9956 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 6.7494 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 458.2462

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 464.9956

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 27.0707 UGX (High: 482.8970 / Low: 455.8263). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.9928 UGX (High: 459.3674 / Low: 456.3746).

July Spread (Volatile) ±27.0707

April Spread (Stable) ±2.9928

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 10.0624 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -10.0624

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 474.8051) against the same month in 2017 (average: 447.2907), the exchange rate shifted by +27.5144 (+6.15%).

2018 Avg (June) 474.8051

2017 Avg (June) 447.2907

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	455.5171	450.0596	452.0062
February	454.2005	450.2961	451.6503
March	456.4739	451.2016	452.6973
April	459.3674	456.3746	457.2981
May	466.9581	459.1553	461.0199
June	483.6886	466.6846	474.8051
July	482.8970	455.8263	464.7428
August	466.0278	455.7217	461.5605
September	475.1765	465.3925	470.9520
October	474.4168	465.1806	468.1621
November	465.7412	461.1241	463.6721
December	464.1725	457.9666	460.8840