YEARLY HIGH
479.9513 UGX
YEARLY LOW
435.3443 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
457.3716 UGX

2022 MOP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the MOP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 3, valuing the pair at 479.9513. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 435.3443.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 44.6070 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 439.7563 to the December average rate of 459.6479, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.52% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 479.9513 was up 3.20% compared to the 2021 peak of 465.0870, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,399,756 UGX
2021 Average 2,240,059 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 2,176,722 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 223,034.80 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

477.8977
434.0482
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 445.6673, compared to 469.0759 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 23.4085 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 445.6673
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 469.0759

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was May, with a trading range of 29.3490 UGX (High: 467.3903 / Low: 438.0413). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.7398 UGX (High: 441.3681 / Low: 436.6283).

May Spread (Volatile) ±29.3490
January Spread (Stable) ±4.7398

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 7.3190 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -7.3190

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2022: 474.2436) against the same month in 2021 (average: 441.2740), the exchange rate shifted by +32.9696 (+7.47%).

2022 Avg (August) 474.2436
2021 Avg (August) 441.2740

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 441.3681 436.6283 439.7563
February 441.0010 435.3443 437.7023
March 449.7110 438.4654 445.8464
April 442.9615 435.7643 438.5274
May 467.3903 438.0413 448.7833
June 470.2222 456.4099 463.3883
July 479.8304 459.6945 469.1107
August 479.9513 465.5791 474.2436
September 479.3968 467.7902 472.7038
October 476.2891 469.9969 472.7470
November 469.4391 463.5766 466.0022
December 466.7167 452.9383 459.6479