YEARLY HIGH
464.4121 UGX
YEARLY LOW
427.6579 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
448.6839 UGX

2025 MOP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the MOP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 7, valuing the pair at 464.4121. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 12, dropping to 427.6579.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 36.7542 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 459.9267 to the December average rate of 445.9235, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.04% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 464.4121 was down 5.30% compared to the 2024 peak of 490.4273, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,322,060 UGX
2024 Average 2,337,034 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 2,138,289 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 183,771.13 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

462.6408
430.0714
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 456.1351, compared to 441.2327 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 14.9025 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 456.1351
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 441.2327

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was November, with a trading range of 23.7481 UGX (High: 457.2341 / Low: 433.4860). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.4409 UGX (High: 444.5922 / Low: 443.1513).

November Spread (Volatile) ±23.7481
July Spread (Stable) ±1.4409

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 8.4164 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -8.4164

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2025: 458.7229) against the same month in 2024 (average: 473.7394), the exchange rate shifted by -15.0165 (-3.17%).

2025 Avg (April) 458.7229
2024 Avg (April) 473.7394

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 463.1156 458.1397 459.9267
February 462.1935 457.7056 458.9403
March 459.0361 456.8800 458.0779
April 464.4121 454.8069 458.7229
May 458.2415 449.9983 454.7797
June 450.7042 443.5142 446.3633
July 444.5922 443.1513 443.5605
August 444.4386 440.0730 442.0622
September 441.5489 435.3213 437.6113
October 436.9124 427.6579 432.7855
November 457.2341 433.4860 445.4529
December 451.7684 441.1486 445.9235