2014 MOP to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

348.0953 UGX

YEARLY LOW

307.1396 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

325.1374 UGX

2014 MOP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MOP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 348.0953. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 18, dropping to 307.1396.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 40.9556 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 312.9127 to the December average rate of 346.0534, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.59% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 348.0953 was up 2.06% compared to the 2013 peak of 341.0681, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,740,476 UGX

2013 Average 1,618,833 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,535,698 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 204,778.07 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

349.7590

305.2918

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 315.7541, compared to 334.5207 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 18.7666 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 315.7541

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 334.5207

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was November, with a trading range of 11.7454 UGX (High: 347.5989 / Low: 335.8534). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.8871 UGX (High: 348.0953 / Low: 344.2081).

November Spread (Volatile) ±11.7454

December Spread (Stable) ±3.8871

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 3.9153 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -3.9153

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 346.0534) against the same month in 2013 (average: 314.5809), the exchange rate shifted by +31.4725 (+10.00%).

2014 Avg (December) 346.0534

2013 Avg (December) 314.5809

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	316.5424	309.2326	312.9127
February	316.1012	307.1396	308.9974
March	321.4264	313.9854	316.8764
April	320.8625	314.1468	316.2523
May	319.2438	315.1030	316.7924
June	326.6724	318.9360	322.6932
July	333.9433	324.5003	329.5486
August	328.4062	324.3957	326.8306
September	331.6745	324.3860	327.6532
October	339.3856	330.3441	334.7847
November	347.5989	335.8534	342.2538
December	348.0953	344.2081	346.0534