2019 MOP to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

467.7030 UGX

YEARLY LOW

453.4871 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

459.0665 UGX

2019 MOP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MOP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 17, valuing the pair at 467.7030. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 29, dropping to 453.4871.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 14.2159 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 458.6479 to the December average rate of 457.2405, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.31% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 467.7030 was down 3.30% compared to the 2018 peak of 483.6886, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,338,515 UGX

2018 Average 2,308,237 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 2,267,436 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 71,079.57 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

467.1902

453.2122

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 460.5108, compared to 457.6223 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.8885 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 460.5108

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 457.6223

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 9.1373 UGX (High: 467.1101 / Low: 457.9728). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.2177 UGX (High: 459.7358 / Low: 457.5182).

June Spread (Volatile) ±9.1373

November Spread (Stable) ±2.2177

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 4.2709 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -4.2709

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2019: 466.0253) against the same month in 2018 (average: 461.0199), the exchange rate shifted by +5.0054 (+1.09%).

2019 Avg (May) 466.0253

2018 Avg (May) 461.0199

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	462.5819	453.4871	458.6479
February	458.1319	453.5093	454.3771
March	459.4783	457.1365	458.3882
April	465.5281	459.2248	462.6209
May	467.7030	463.4522	466.0253
June	467.1101	457.9728	463.0052
July	461.2398	457.9827	459.3816
August	459.0675	456.0209	457.3190
September	456.8287	453.8938	455.4296
October	461.7512	455.5500	457.9018
November	459.7358	457.5182	458.4614
December	459.4886	456.3095	457.2405