YEARLY HIGH
474.5439 UGX
YEARLY LOW
448.2755 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
461.9278 UGX

2023 MOP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the MOP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 30, valuing the pair at 474.5439. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 12, dropping to 448.2755.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 26.2684 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 458.3656 to the December average rate of 469.5761, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.45% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 474.5439 was down 1.13% compared to the 2022 peak of 479.9513, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,372,719 UGX
2022 Average 2,287,514 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 2,241,377 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 131,341.93 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

471.8704
453.6893
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 460.2901, compared to 463.5656 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 3.2755 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 460.2901
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 463.5656

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was August, with a trading range of 15.0653 UGX (High: 463.3408 / Low: 448.2755). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 5.6797 UGX (High: 472.9529 / Low: 467.2732).

August Spread (Volatile) ±15.0653
December Spread (Stable) ±5.6797

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 4.0399 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -4.0399

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2023: 470.3553) against the same month in 2022 (average: 466.0022), the exchange rate shifted by +4.3531 (+0.93%).

2023 Avg (November) 470.3553
2022 Avg (November) 466.0022

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 463.7529 455.0865 458.3656
February 460.9263 453.0291 456.1278
March 468.7381 457.8674 462.8908
April 468.1092 461.2731 463.3902
May 468.4745 458.6734 461.7219
June 464.9790 454.1791 459.2442
July 459.3464 450.0043 455.2044
August 463.3408 448.2755 456.6925
September 467.9163 460.2486 463.6911
October 469.6964 463.6116 465.8740
November 474.5439 466.8730 470.3553
December 472.9529 467.2732 469.5761