YEARLY HIGH
489.2987 UGX
YEARLY LOW
456.4364 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
465.2903 UGX

2020 MOP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the MOP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 24, valuing the pair at 489.2987. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 456.4364.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 32.8622 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 459.4245 to the December average rate of 458.9967, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.09% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 489.2987 was up 4.62% compared to the 2019 peak of 467.7030, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,446,493 UGX
2019 Average 2,295,481 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 2,282,182 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 164,311.23 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

476.3980
457.4148
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 467.7480, compared to 462.8326 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 4.9153 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 467.7480
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 462.8326

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 27.2118 UGX (High: 489.2987 / Low: 462.0868). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.0990 UGX (High: 476.3639 / Low: 473.2649).

March Spread (Volatile) ±27.2118
May Spread (Stable) ±3.0990

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 6.6935 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -6.6935

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 471.1617) against the same month in 2019 (average: 458.3882), the exchange rate shifted by +12.7734 (+2.79%).

2020 Avg (March) 471.1617
2019 Avg (March) 458.3882

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 463.6018 456.9013 459.4245
February 462.1885 457.4790 459.1671
March 489.2987 462.0868 471.1617
April 476.6544 470.3659 473.7961
May 476.3639 473.2649 474.8160
June 473.5747 466.0372 468.1225
July 466.6194 461.7376 463.9023
August 462.0284 458.7574 460.5293
September 466.0085 460.8890 463.0980
October 468.7949 462.5448 465.7943
November 468.5231 462.6550 464.6753
December 463.3816 456.4364 458.9967