YEARLY HIGH
465.0870 UGX
YEARLY LOW
439.6734 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
448.0674 UGX

2021 MOP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the MOP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 465.0870. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 27, dropping to 439.6734.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 25.4136 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 462.0185 to the December average rate of 442.4970, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.23% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 465.0870 was down 4.95% compared to the 2020 peak of 489.2987, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,325,435 UGX
2020 Average 2,326,502 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 2,198,367 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 127,068.07 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

464.1771
438.2748
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 453.2270, compared to 442.9078 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 10.3193 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 453.2270
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 442.9078

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 11.6326 UGX (High: 453.0653 / Low: 441.4327). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.7094 UGX (High: 458.7045 / Low: 456.9951).

October Spread (Volatile) ±11.6326
March Spread (Stable) ±1.7094

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 8.9543 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -8.9543

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 462.0185) against the same month in 2020 (average: 459.4245), the exchange rate shifted by +2.5940 (+0.56%).

2021 Avg (January) 462.0185
2020 Avg (January) 459.4245

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 465.0870 457.8488 462.0185
February 460.8265 458.3518 459.1399
March 458.7045 456.9951 457.9041
April 457.2786 447.2536 453.2142
May 449.6253 441.7103 444.2599
June 444.6875 440.1779 442.8257
July 445.6688 442.4278 443.8419
August 443.7275 440.0191 441.2740
September 443.7446 439.6734 440.4333
October 453.0653 441.4327 446.4906
November 446.2652 439.7315 442.9098
December 444.5658 440.5920 442.4970