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2026 MVR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026
During 2026, the MVR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 28, valuing the pair at 245.1859. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 223.6707.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 21.5152 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 230.9069 to the December average rate of 242.1929, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.89% (reflecting a strengthening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 245.1859 was up 1.04% compared to the 2025 peak of 242.6738, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:
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MVR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 238.0830, compared to 240.8694 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulâDec) by a margin of 2.7864 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2026 was March, with a trading range of 11.7936 UGX (High: 244.7477 / Low: 232.9540). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2835 UGX (High: 242.3693 / Low: 242.0858).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsNo sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 3.8409 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2026: 244.3894) against the same month in 2025 (average: 236.7163), the exchange rate shifted by +7.6731 (+3.24%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 234.5599 | 223.6707 | 230.9069 |
| February | 233.4377 | 228.7249 | 230.8643 |
| March | 244.7477 | 232.9540 | 241.2555 |
| April | 243.1107 | 238.2210 | 240.5336 |
| May | 245.1859 | 241.8194 | 244.3894 |
| June | 244.7980 | 235.4883 | 240.5485 |
| July | 244.0652 | 236.1569 | 239.5459 |
| August | 242.3693 | 242.0858 | 242.1929 |