2026 MVR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

245.1859 UGX

YEARLY LOW

223.6707 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

238.2920 UGX

2026 MVR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MVR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 28, valuing the pair at 245.1859. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 223.6707.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 21.5152 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 230.9069 to the December average rate of 239.5459, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.74% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 245.1859 was up 1.04% compared to the 2025 peak of 242.6738, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,225,929 UGX

2025 Average 1,169,510 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,118,354 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 107,575.87 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

245.7419

229.5118

JanuMarcMayJuly

MVR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 238.0830, compared to 239.5459 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.4629 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 238.0830

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 239.5459

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was March, with a trading range of 11.7936 UGX (High: 244.7477 / Low: 232.9540). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.3665 UGX (High: 245.1859 / Low: 241.8194).

March Spread (Volatile) ±11.7936

May Spread (Stable) ±3.3665

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 3.8409 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -3.8409

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2026: 244.3894) against the same month in 2025 (average: 236.7163), the exchange rate shifted by +7.6731 (+3.24%).

2026 Avg (May) 244.3894

2025 Avg (May) 236.7163

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	234.5599	223.6707	230.9069
February	233.4377	228.7249	230.8643
March	244.7477	232.9540	241.2555
April	243.1107	238.2210	240.5336
May	245.1859	241.8194	244.3894
June	244.7980	235.4883	240.5485
July	244.0652	236.1569	239.5459