2013 MVR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

176.4638 UGX

YEARLY LOW

162.0945 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

168.1795 UGX

2013 MVR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the MVR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 176.4638. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 18, dropping to 162.0945.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 14.3693 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 173.9259 to the December average rate of 163.3635, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.07% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 176.4638 was down 2.94% compared to the 2012 peak of 181.8139, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 882,319 UGX

2012 Average 852,234 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 810,472 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 71,846.45 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

174.9821

162.3072

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 170.4621, compared to 165.8970 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 4.5651 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 170.4621

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 165.8970

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was April, with a trading range of 4.3879 UGX (High: 169.0598 / Low: 164.6719). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.6792 UGX (High: 164.9585 / Low: 163.2794).

April Spread (Volatile) ±4.3879

November Spread (Stable) ±1.6792

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 3.5102 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -3.5102

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 173.9259) against the same month in 2012 (average: 171.2163), the exchange rate shifted by +2.7095 (+1.58%).

2013 Avg (January) 173.9259

2012 Avg (January) 171.2163

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	176.4638	172.2633	173.9259
February	174.3523	171.1721	172.6945
March	172.4682	168.3917	171.0498
April	169.0598	164.6719	167.5396
May	170.1937	166.5440	168.5264
June	170.5763	166.4792	169.0365
July	169.7418	166.8372	168.4630
August	168.6869	166.8423	167.7401
September	168.6091	165.7221	167.1147
October	166.0790	163.3676	164.7067
November	164.9585	163.2794	163.9941
December	164.3771	162.0945	163.3635