YEARLY HIGH
254.5660 UGX
YEARLY LOW
236.5403 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
240.9211 UGX

2020 MVR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the MVR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 24, valuing the pair at 254.5660. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 236.5403.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 18.0256 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 238.0167 to the December average rate of 237.7945, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.09% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 254.5660 was up 3.58% compared to the 2019 peak of 245.7663, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,272,830 UGX
2019 Average 1,199,372 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,182,702 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 90,128.24 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

245.9951
237.0490
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 241.9941, compared to 239.8481 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.1460 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 241.9941
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 239.8481

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 16.0519 UGX (High: 254.5660 / Low: 238.5141). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.4107 UGX (High: 245.9740 / Low: 243.5633).

March Spread (Volatile) ±16.0519
May Spread (Stable) ±2.4107

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 3.0856 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.0856

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 243.8350) against the same month in 2019 (average: 239.6818), the exchange rate shifted by +4.1531 (+1.73%).

2020 Avg (March) 243.8350
2019 Avg (March) 239.6818

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 240.2253 236.9419 238.0167
February 239.7387 237.1778 237.9585
March 254.5660 238.5141 243.8350
April 247.1895 243.6689 245.2496
May 245.9740 243.5633 244.9298
June 243.8471 240.0373 241.9750
July 242.0560 239.3125 240.4327
August 239.9726 237.4705 238.6548
September 241.4210 238.6514 239.9695
October 242.9904 239.5589 241.3569
November 242.8876 239.4581 240.8801
December 240.3159 236.5403 237.7945