YEARLY HIGH
254.7030 UGX
YEARLY LOW
229.0195 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
234.3149 UGX

2017 MVR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the MVR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 18, valuing the pair at 254.7030. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 7, dropping to 229.0195.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 25.6835 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 235.2537 to the December average rate of 235.4783, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.10% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 254.7030 was up 6.67% compared to the 2016 peak of 238.7774, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,273,515 UGX
2016 Average 1,119,348 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,145,097 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 128,417.37 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

237.4688
230.0545
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 233.3663, compared to 235.2635 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.8972 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 233.3663
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 235.2635

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was August, with a trading range of 22.9373 UGX (High: 254.7030 / Low: 231.7657). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.8788 UGX (High: 237.9748 / Low: 236.0960).

August Spread (Volatile) ±22.9373
November Spread (Stable) ±1.8788

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 3.5473 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.5473

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2017: 235.7500) against the same month in 2016 (average: 222.0645), the exchange rate shifted by +13.6855 (+6.16%).

2017 Avg (August) 235.7500
2016 Avg (August) 222.0645

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 238.3344 232.0376 235.2537
February 233.9196 230.0735 232.0819
March 234.8316 229.6771 232.8115
April 237.7826 233.1866 235.1591
May 236.8989 230.3007 234.2197
June 233.5793 229.0195 230.6723
July 234.5471 230.3103 232.9955
August 254.7030 231.7657 235.7500
September 236.0543 232.7570 234.3350
October 237.8280 234.0675 236.1714
November 237.9748 236.0960 236.8509
December 236.0986 233.3796 235.4783