YEARLY HIGH
262.9305 UGX
YEARLY LOW
236.3630 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
243.8979 UGX

2024 MVR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the MVR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 2, valuing the pair at 262.9305. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 236.3630.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 26.5675 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 246.9912 to the December average rate of 237.7786, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.73% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 262.9305 was up 5.72% compared to the 2023 peak of 248.7134, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,314,653 UGX
2023 Average 1,211,273 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,181,815 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 132,837.38 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

253.7718
236.3246
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 247.8864, compared to 239.9094 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 7.9770 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 247.8864
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 239.9094

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was May, with a trading range of 20.3571 UGX (High: 262.9305 / Low: 242.5734). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.5138 UGX (High: 239.8836 / Low: 238.3698).

May Spread (Volatile) ±20.3571
October Spread (Stable) ±1.5138

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 5.1358 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -5.1358

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2024: 245.5886) against the same month in 2023 (average: 242.8467), the exchange rate shifted by +2.7419 (+1.13%).

2024 Avg (May) 245.5886
2023 Avg (May) 242.8467

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 247.9913 245.1977 246.9912
February 256.5319 247.2787 251.5243
March 255.3276 249.5416 252.3179
April 251.5424 245.5110 247.1821
May 262.9305 242.5734 245.5886
June 247.7354 240.4858 243.7140
July 243.4820 238.7741 240.6400
August 243.1094 240.1056 241.9214
September 242.8657 240.2520 241.6744
October 239.8836 238.3698 239.1083
November 239.8696 236.5047 238.3336
December 238.9239 236.3630 237.7786