2012 MVR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

181.8139 UGX

YEARLY LOW

160.0537 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

170.4368 UGX

2012 MVR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the MVR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 5, valuing the pair at 181.8139. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 18, dropping to 160.0537.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 21.7601 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 171.2163 to the December average rate of 173.9156, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.58% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 181.8139 was down 11.03% compared to the 2011 peak of 204.3630, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 909,069 UGX

2011 Average 926,292 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 800,269 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 108,800.58 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

179.2519

160.3753

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 173.8830, compared to 166.9905 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 6.8925 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 173.8830

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 166.9905

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was July, with a trading range of 20.5129 UGX (High: 180.5667 / Low: 160.0537). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.9275 UGX (High: 177.9635 / Low: 175.0360).

July Spread (Volatile) ±20.5129

June Spread (Stable) ±2.9275

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 11.1615 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -11.1615

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2012: 176.2512) against the same month in 2011 (average: 187.3266), the exchange rate shifted by -11.0754 (-5.91%).

2012 Avg (March) 176.2512

2011 Avg (March) 187.3266

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	175.8241	164.8452	171.2163
February	173.6128	163.9005	165.7545
March	181.8139	174.0201	176.2512
April	178.8098	175.8244	177.6789
May	178.0042	173.8129	175.9616
June	177.9635	175.0360	176.4354
July	180.5667	160.0537	165.2740
August	164.4588	160.7203	161.9484
September	165.9952	161.6998	163.2874
October	168.9797	165.2448	167.4835
November	175.2342	167.5070	170.0343
December	175.8487	172.6353	173.9156