2015 MVR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

241.2611 UGX

YEARLY LOW

181.3509 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

211.6525 UGX

2015 MVR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the MVR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 1, valuing the pair at 241.2611. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 181.3509.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 59.9102 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 186.7700 to the December average rate of 219.3738, the exchange rate registered a net change of 17.46% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 241.2611 was up 32.34% compared to the 2014 peak of 182.3082, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,206,305 UGX

2014 Average 844,304 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 906,754 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 299,551.20 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

244.7562

181.4986

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 194.8815, compared to 228.4234 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 33.5419 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 194.8815

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 228.4234

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was July, with a trading range of 17.2714 UGX (High: 231.1670 / Low: 213.8956). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.7252 UGX (High: 240.3847 / Low: 238.6595).

July Spread (Volatile) ±17.2714

September Spread (Stable) ±1.7252

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 14.2974 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -14.2974

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2015: 237.6981) against the same month in 2014 (average: 173.6956), the exchange rate shifted by +64.0025 (+36.85%).

2015 Avg (October) 237.6981

2014 Avg (October) 173.6956

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	190.3426	181.3509	186.7700
February	189.3646	187.0909	188.0706
March	198.2886	189.1439	193.0356
April	197.1390	194.7847	196.1116
May	200.5687	195.5334	196.8927
June	216.0542	200.7212	208.4085
July	231.1670	213.8956	219.0289
August	238.9601	224.0656	231.5543
September	240.3847	238.6595	239.4848
October	241.2611	230.7487	237.6981
November	232.2777	218.7951	223.4007
December	226.1478	214.9864	219.3738