YEARLY HIGH
254.0719 UGX
YEARLY LOW
225.9940 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
239.2007 UGX

2022 MVR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the MVR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 6, valuing the pair at 254.0719. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 225.9940.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 28.0779 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 228.4278 to the December average rate of 239.8814, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.01% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 254.0719 was up 5.22% compared to the 2021 peak of 241.4632, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,270,359 UGX
2021 Average 1,162,079 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,129,970 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 140,389.47 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

251.8575
225.3682
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 232.6840, compared to 245.7174 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 13.0335 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 232.6840
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 245.7174

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was May, with a trading range of 16.5712 UGX (High: 244.7209 / Low: 228.1497). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.3849 UGX (High: 230.2417 / Low: 226.8568).

May Spread (Volatile) ±16.5712
January Spread (Stable) ±3.3849

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 3.8506 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.8506

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2022: 249.6500) against the same month in 2021 (average: 228.9499), the exchange rate shifted by +20.7001 (+9.04%).

2022 Avg (August) 249.6500
2021 Avg (August) 228.9499

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 230.2417 226.8568 228.4278
February 230.1085 225.9940 227.5757
March 234.5192 228.4085 232.5520
April 231.6652 227.7169 229.5193
May 244.7209 228.1497 234.8819
June 245.9918 234.3316 243.1473
July 252.6704 241.1963 246.1604
August 254.0719 244.6623 249.6500
September 251.3372 243.3762 247.3500
October 249.3805 245.3463 247.5310
November 245.6033 242.1037 243.7319
December 244.3714 235.9812 239.8814