YEARLY HIGH
248.7134 UGX
YEARLY LOW
233.5130 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
242.2497 UGX

2023 MVR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the MVR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 30, valuing the pair at 248.7134. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 6, dropping to 233.5130.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 15.2003 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 239.9732 to the December average rate of 245.9969, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.51% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 248.7134 was down 2.11% compared to the 2022 peak of 254.0719, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,243,567 UGX
2022 Average 1,196,386 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,167,565 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 76,001.61 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

246.7858
237.3188
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 241.8615, compared to 242.6380 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.7765 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 241.8615
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 242.6380

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was August, with a trading range of 10.0035 UGX (High: 243.5165 / Low: 233.5130). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.7390 UGX (High: 247.8625 / Low: 244.1235).

August Spread (Volatile) ±10.0035
December Spread (Stable) ±3.7390

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 3.3379 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.3379

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2023: 245.8877) against the same month in 2022 (average: 243.7319), the exchange rate shifted by +2.1557 (+0.88%).

2023 Avg (November) 245.8877
2022 Avg (November) 243.7319

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 242.1686 237.5096 239.9732
February 242.6179 237.5819 240.1323
March 246.1483 239.9101 243.0542
April 246.4085 241.9477 243.7169
May 246.9853 241.5631 242.8467
June 245.0746 238.5572 241.4456
July 240.3742 234.5777 238.1077
August 243.5165 233.5130 239.4431
September 244.7369 240.3036 242.5174
October 246.0353 242.1011 243.8750
November 248.7134 242.9581 245.8877
December 247.8625 244.1235 245.9969