2018 MVR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

253.7697 UGX

YEARLY LOW

235.1583 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

241.3198 UGX

2018 MVR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MVR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 253.7697. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 17, dropping to 235.1583.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 18.6114 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 236.2960 to the December average rate of 240.3180, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.70% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 253.7697 was down 0.37% compared to the 2017 peak of 254.7030, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,268,849 UGX

2017 Average 1,171,670 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,175,792 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 93,057.21 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

249.7487

234.5062

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 239.5262, compared to 243.1134 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 3.5872 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 239.5262

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 243.1134

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 15.2900 UGX (High: 253.2650 / Low: 237.9751). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.8079 UGX (High: 236.9662 / Low: 235.1583).

July Spread (Volatile) ±15.2900

February Spread (Stable) ±1.8079

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 4.9897 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -4.9897

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 248.4785) against the same month in 2017 (average: 230.6723), the exchange rate shifted by +17.8061 (+7.72%).

2018 Avg (June) 248.4785

2017 Avg (June) 230.6723

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	237.6571	235.5265	236.2960
February	236.9662	235.1583	235.7764
March	239.6669	235.5259	236.6099
April	240.5142	237.2015	239.5972
May	243.3891	238.4272	240.3990
June	253.7697	243.3971	248.4785
July	253.2650	237.9751	243.4888
August	243.8629	239.1431	241.6612
September	248.4448	243.4739	246.5447
October	248.1914	242.2712	244.8466
November	243.2102	239.7989	241.8210
December	242.0556	238.8515	240.3180