2011 MVR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

204.3630 UGX

YEARLY LOW

167.7874 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

185.2477 UGX

2011 MVR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the MVR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 12, valuing the pair at 204.3630. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 167.7874.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 36.5756 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 181.9719 to the December average rate of 174.0223, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.37% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 204.3630 was up 12.17% compared to the 2010 peak of 182.1908, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,021,815 UGX

2010 Average 851,469 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 838,937 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 182,877.90 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

202.2759

171.4538

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 181.3200, compared to 189.1754 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 7.8554 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 181.3200

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 189.1754

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 20.9962 UGX (High: 204.3630 / Low: 183.3668). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.3806 UGX (High: 186.4210 / Low: 182.0404).

October Spread (Volatile) ±20.9962

April Spread (Stable) ±4.3806

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 15.3389 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -15.3389

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 198.5455) against the same month in 2010 (average: 177.0430), the exchange rate shifted by +21.5025 (+12.15%).

2011 Avg (October) 198.5455

2010 Avg (October) 177.0430

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	186.9134	178.6327	181.9719
February	186.2139	180.3088	183.3816
March	189.6111	185.0032	187.3266
April	186.4210	182.0404	185.3152
May	186.2918	169.2039	175.5045
June	189.6494	169.4988	174.4200
July	186.0504	180.1880	183.8664
August	201.1181	185.4520	195.7040
September	203.5767	197.3224	199.7074
October	204.3630	183.3668	198.5455
November	186.8128	177.7167	183.2066
December	180.9857	167.7874	174.0223