YEARLY HIGH
242.6738 UGX
YEARLY LOW
222.9024 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
233.9332 UGX

2025 MVR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the MVR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 2, valuing the pair at 242.6738. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 11, dropping to 222.9024.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 19.7714 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 239.3815 to the December average rate of 231.6724, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.22% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 242.6738 was down 7.70% compared to the 2024 peak of 262.9305, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,213,369 UGX
2024 Average 1,219,345 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,114,512 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 98,856.85 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

240.6744
225.1594
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 237.4970, compared to 230.3694 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 7.1276 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 237.4970
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 230.3694

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was November, with a trading range of 11.6155 UGX (High: 237.4619 / Low: 225.8464). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.1265 UGX (High: 233.4631 / Low: 232.3366).

November Spread (Volatile) ±11.6155
July Spread (Stable) ±1.1265

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 2.6191 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.6191

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2025: 238.9358) against the same month in 2024 (average: 251.5243), the exchange rate shifted by -12.5884 (-5.00%).

2025 Avg (February) 238.9358
2024 Avg (February) 251.5243

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 241.1511 238.2224 239.3815
February 242.6738 238.2525 238.9358
March 239.1699 235.2267 237.9735
April 240.9009 236.3825 237.8778
May 238.2220 235.0097 236.7163
June 235.6810 232.7187 234.0972
July 233.4631 232.3366 232.8237
August 232.7039 228.3287 231.1151
September 230.1590 227.3143 228.5391
October 229.0456 222.9024 226.4523
November 237.4619 225.8464 231.6140
December 234.5035 229.6274 231.6724