YEARLY HIGH
245.7663 UGX
YEARLY LOW
233.8162 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
239.8621 UGX

2019 MVR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MVR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 14, valuing the pair at 245.7663. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 25, dropping to 233.8162.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 11.9500 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 239.2307 to the December average rate of 237.9441, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.54% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 245.7663 was down 3.15% compared to the 2018 peak of 253.7697, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,228,831 UGX
2018 Average 1,206,674 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,169,081 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 59,750.14 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

244.9987
236.9234
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 240.7509, compared to 238.9733 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.7776 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 240.7509
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 238.9733

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 7.8351 UGX (High: 244.9503 / Low: 237.1152). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.6368 UGX (High: 240.4058 / Low: 238.7690).

June Spread (Volatile) ±7.8351
November Spread (Stable) ±1.6368

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 2.9375 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.9375

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2019: 244.3258) against the same month in 2018 (average: 240.3990), the exchange rate shifted by +3.9267 (+1.63%).

2019 Avg (May) 244.3258
2018 Avg (May) 240.3990

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 241.6148 235.9707 239.2307
February 239.7278 236.8351 237.5964
March 241.0899 238.4135 239.6818
April 243.6440 240.3286 242.2822
May 245.7663 242.9806 244.3258
June 244.9503 237.1152 241.3883
July 240.6202 238.6358 239.3398
August 240.3057 233.8162 238.6645
September 239.7763 235.8773 238.4781
October 242.1309 238.3801 239.8515
November 240.4058 238.7690 239.5616
December 240.5833 236.7287 237.9441