2016 MVR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

238.7774 UGX

YEARLY LOW

215.8905 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

223.8665 UGX

2016 MVR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MVR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 4, valuing the pair at 238.7774. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 23, dropping to 215.8905.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 22.8869 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 225.0776 to the December average rate of 235.0655, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.44% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 238.7774 was down 1.03% compared to the 2015 peak of 241.2611, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,193,887 UGX

2015 Average 1,058,947 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,079,453 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 114,434.56 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

236.7018

217.0664

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 221.2422, compared to 226.4907 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 5.2484 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 221.2422

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 226.4907

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 11.0659 UGX (High: 238.2646 / Low: 227.1987). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9997 UGX (High: 222.0256 / Low: 221.0259).

November Spread (Volatile) ±11.0659

September Spread (Stable) ±0.9997

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 3.8485 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -3.8485

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 235.0655) against the same month in 2015 (average: 219.3738), the exchange rate shifted by +15.6917 (+7.15%).

2016 Avg (December) 235.0655

2015 Avg (December) 219.3738

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	228.0245	220.2008	225.0776
February	226.8787	219.4203	224.0817
March	222.0847	218.4316	220.2332
April	223.6067	215.8905	219.0895
May	221.9822	216.2743	218.7027
June	226.7039	218.1125	220.2689
July	224.2056	221.1269	222.5438
August	223.7996	221.0237	222.0645
September	222.0256	221.0259	221.5536
October	227.3400	221.3584	224.7160
November	238.2646	227.1987	233.0007
December	238.7774	231.0766	235.0655