2014 MVR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

182.3082 UGX

YEARLY LOW

158.9106 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

168.8018 UGX

2014 MVR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MVR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 18, valuing the pair at 182.3082. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 19, dropping to 158.9106.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 23.3976 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 162.4314 to the December average rate of 180.9407, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.40% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 182.3082 was up 3.31% compared to the 2013 peak of 176.4638, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 911,541 UGX

2013 Average 840,781 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 794,553 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 116,988.09 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

183.0105

158.1735

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 163.6931, compared to 173.9104 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 10.2173 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 163.6931

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 173.9104

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was November, with a trading range of 7.8101 UGX (High: 182.1554 / Low: 174.3452). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.3272 UGX (High: 164.8161 / Low: 163.4889).

November Spread (Volatile) ±7.8101

May Spread (Stable) ±1.3272

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 2.1882 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.1882

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 180.9407) against the same month in 2013 (average: 163.3635), the exchange rate shifted by +17.5773 (+10.76%).

2014 Avg (December) 180.9407

2013 Avg (December) 163.3635

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	164.5311	160.3463	162.4314
February	163.9327	158.9106	160.2432
March	166.6175	163.0487	164.4234
April	166.6089	162.7474	164.0435
May	164.8161	163.4889	164.1496
June	169.2052	164.1824	166.8677
July	172.7718	168.4206	170.8019
August	170.3089	168.6590	169.6192
September	172.2685	168.8006	170.1717
October	176.5099	171.6569	173.6956
November	182.1554	174.3452	178.2334
December	182.3082	180.0846	180.9407