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2021 PHP to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021
During 2021, the PHP to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 5, valuing the pair at 0.3734. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 19, dropping to 0.3399.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0335 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3588 to the December average rate of 0.3524, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.76% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.3734 was up 1.38% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.3683, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 250,000 PHP based on timing:
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PHP to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 0.3653, compared to 0.3513 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 0.0140 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2021 was August, with a trading range of 0.0157 MDL (High: 0.3611 / Low: 0.3454). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0051 MDL (High: 0.3717 / Low: 0.3666).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0093 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2021: 0.3694) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.3578), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0115 (+3.22%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 0.3633 | 0.3556 | 0.3588 |
| February | 0.3639 | 0.3553 | 0.3606 |
| March | 0.3712 | 0.3598 | 0.3647 |
| April | 0.3734 | 0.3653 | 0.3694 |
| May | 0.3731 | 0.3659 | 0.3695 |
| June | 0.3717 | 0.3666 | 0.3688 |
| July | 0.3673 | 0.3520 | 0.3596 |
| August | 0.3611 | 0.3454 | 0.3521 |
| September | 0.3550 | 0.3434 | 0.3505 |
| October | 0.3481 | 0.3399 | 0.3433 |
| November | 0.3539 | 0.3451 | 0.3497 |
| December | 0.3572 | 0.3461 | 0.3524 |