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2021 PHP to STD Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021
During 2021, the PHP to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 9, valuing the pair at 436.6283. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 28, dropping to 404.7566.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 31.8717 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 425.5087 to the December average rate of 421.6883, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.90% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 436.6283 was down 1.72% compared to the 2020 peak of 444.2718, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 250,000 PHP based on timing:
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PHP to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 426.3815, compared to 415.0979 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 11.2836 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2021 was August, with a trading range of 18.7487 STD (High: 426.3520 / Low: 407.6033). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.5365 STD (High: 426.3499 / Low: 421.8135).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 14.1001 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2021: 433.0715) against the same month in 2020 (average: 436.4447), the exchange rate shifted by -3.3732 (-0.77%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 426.3499 | 421.8135 | 425.5087 |
| February | 427.0717 | 415.2990 | 422.0126 |
| March | 429.9811 | 417.7546 | 423.4651 |
| April | 431.2354 | 425.5597 | 428.2320 |
| May | 436.6283 | 429.8945 | 433.0715 |
| June | 434.8336 | 419.6625 | 425.9991 |
| July | 420.1212 | 405.0541 | 411.8990 |
| August | 426.3520 | 407.6033 | 413.1235 |
| September | 416.8170 | 404.7566 | 413.0345 |
| October | 416.5019 | 410.4545 | 412.9809 |
| November | 421.0094 | 414.0747 | 417.8612 |
| December | 425.5764 | 412.5707 | 421.6883 |