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2021 TOP to BDT Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021
During 2021, the TOP to BDT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 31, valuing the pair at 38.3504. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 6, dropping to 36.7445.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6059 BDT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 37.1815 to the December average rate of 37.5486, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.99% (reflecting a strengthening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 38.3504 was up 1.54% compared to the 2020 peak of 37.7680, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:
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TOP to BDT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 37.3470, compared to 37.7527 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulâDec) by a margin of 0.4057 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2021 was November, with a trading range of 0.7963 BDT (High: 38.3346 / Low: 37.5383). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3278 BDT (High: 37.7278 / Low: 37.4001).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.4460 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2021: 38.0019) against the same month in 2020 (average: 36.6429), the exchange rate shifted by +1.3589 (+3.71%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 37.5172 | 36.8301 | 37.1815 |
| February | 37.3105 | 36.7445 | 36.9363 |
| March | 37.5119 | 36.8450 | 37.1577 |
| April | 37.5350 | 36.8921 | 37.2225 |
| May | 38.0034 | 37.2370 | 37.6480 |
| June | 38.2310 | 37.5861 | 37.9359 |
| July | 37.7278 | 37.4001 | 37.5552 |
| August | 37.7265 | 37.1991 | 37.5481 |
| September | 38.0511 | 37.6299 | 37.8677 |
| October | 38.3504 | 37.7188 | 38.0019 |
| November | 38.3346 | 37.5383 | 37.9945 |
| December | 37.7185 | 37.3824 | 37.5486 |