YEARLY HIGH
52.1671 RSD
YEARLY LOW
38.7580 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
43.7199 RSD

2011 TRY to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the TRY to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 52.1671. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 18, dropping to 38.7580.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 13.4092 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 50.0997 to the December average rate of 41.8082, the exchange rate registered a net change of -16.55% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 52.1671 was down 9.79% compared to the 2010 peak of 57.8269, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,608,357 RSD
2010 Average 2,577,349 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 1,937,898 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 670,458.33 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

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51.1101
38.9851
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 46.1377, compared to 41.3021 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 4.8356 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 46.1377
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 41.3021

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was January, with a trading range of 4.9264 RSD (High: 52.1671 / Low: 47.2407). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.2397 RSD (High: 47.2640 / Low: 46.0243).

January Spread (Volatile) Âą4.9264
March Spread (Stable) Âą1.2397

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 2.7085 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.7085

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 50.0997) against the same month in 2010 (average: 45.9900), the exchange rate shifted by +4.1096 (+8.94%).

2011 Avg (January) 50.0997
2010 Avg (January) 45.9900

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Month High Low Average
January 52.1671 47.2407 50.0997
February 48.3180 46.3632 47.5451
March 47.2640 46.0243 46.6120
April 47.3240 44.0531 46.0555
May 44.6735 42.1098 43.3470
June 44.7228 42.1103 43.1667
July 44.1828 41.8526 43.0786
August 42.3467 39.5238 40.5454
September 41.6360 40.0588 40.7122
October 41.0509 38.7580 39.9955
November 42.4315 40.5392 41.6727
December 43.2421 41.2339 41.8082