YEARLY HIGH
38.7685 RSD
YEARLY LOW
32.5792 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
36.8641 RSD

2016 TRY to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the TRY to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 2, valuing the pair at 38.7685. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 4, dropping to 32.5792.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.1894 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 37.5980 to the December average rate of 33.4088, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.14% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 38.7685 was down 16.82% compared to the 2015 peak of 46.6102, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,938,426 RSD
2015 Average 2,006,006 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 1,628,958 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 309,467.86 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

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38.8756
32.9118
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 37.7255, compared to 36.0026 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.7230 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 37.7255
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 36.0026

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 2.1535 RSD (High: 35.8614 / Low: 33.7079). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7320 RSD (High: 37.3950 / Low: 36.6630).

November Spread (Volatile) Âą2.1535
August Spread (Stable) Âą0.7320

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 1.6717 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.6717

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2016: 38.3786) against the same month in 2015 (average: 42.8636), the exchange rate shifted by -4.4850 (-10.46%).

2016 Avg (March) 38.3786
2015 Avg (March) 42.8636

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Month High Low Average
January 38.4254 36.9205 37.5980
February 38.2767 36.7211 37.5557
March 38.7685 37.9866 38.3786
April 38.5995 37.7443 38.1939
May 38.2476 36.4199 36.9680
June 38.5376 37.3141 37.6591
July 38.5432 36.4174 37.5109
August 37.3950 36.6630 37.1264
September 37.5461 36.5428 37.0311
October 36.8116 35.9678 36.3050
November 35.8614 33.7079 34.6333
December 33.7824 32.5792 33.4088