2016 இந்திய ரூபாய் முதல் பவுண்ட் வரையிலான வரலாற்று ஆய்வு
2016 ஆம் ஆண்டு முழுவதும் நாணய மாற்று விகிதச் செயல்பாட்டின் விரிவான பகுப்பாய்வு.
2016 TRY to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016
During 2016, the TRY to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 2, valuing the pair at 38.7685. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 4, dropping to 32.5792.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.1894 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 37.5980 to the December average rate of 33.4088, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.14% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 38.7685 was down 16.82% compared to the 2015 peak of 46.6102, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:
Trend Visualization
Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.
TRY to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 37.7255, compared to 36.0026 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.7230 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 2.1535 RSD (High: 35.8614 / Low: 33.7079). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7320 RSD (High: 37.3950 / Low: 36.6630).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsNo sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 1.6717 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2016: 38.3786) against the same month in 2015 (average: 42.8636), the exchange rate shifted by -4.4850 (-10.46%).
Monthly Breakdown
Statistical summary for each calendar month.
| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 38.4254 | 36.9205 | 37.5980 |
| February | 38.2767 | 36.7211 | 37.5557 |
| March | 38.7685 | 37.9866 | 38.3786 |
| April | 38.5995 | 37.7443 | 38.1939 |
| May | 38.2476 | 36.4199 | 36.9680 |
| June | 38.5376 | 37.3141 | 37.6591 |
| July | 38.5432 | 36.4174 | 37.5109 |
| August | 37.3950 | 36.6630 | 37.1264 |
| September | 37.5461 | 36.5428 | 37.0311 |
| October | 36.8116 | 35.9678 | 36.3050 |
| November | 35.8614 | 33.7079 | 34.6333 |
| December | 33.7824 | 32.5792 | 33.4088 |