YEARLY HIGH
8.1561 STD
YEARLY LOW
6.9324 STD
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.6482 STD

2012 UGX to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the UGX to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 8, valuing the pair at 8.1561. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 6.9324.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2238 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.8724 to the December average rate of 7.0078, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.98% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 8.1561 was up 0.46% compared to the 2011 peak of 8.1189, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 40,781 STD
2011 Average 35,115 STD
Yearly Trough Low 34,662 STD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,118.77 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

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8.1835
6.9009
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.6918, compared to 7.6046 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0872 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.6918
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.6046

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was February, with a trading range of 0.6140 STD (High: 8.1175 / Low: 7.5036). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1176 STD (High: 7.0499 / Low: 6.9324).

February Spread (Volatile) Âą0.6140
December Spread (Stable) Âą0.1176

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.4619 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4619

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2012: 8.0766) against the same month in 2011 (average: 6.2405), the exchange rate shifted by +1.8361 (+29.42%).

2012 Avg (August) 8.0766
2011 Avg (August) 6.2405

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Month High Low Average
January 8.0493 7.4401 7.8724
February 8.1175 7.5036 7.9475
March 7.7295 7.2466 7.4856
April 7.5653 7.3460 7.4512
May 7.7843 7.3872 7.6421
June 7.9522 7.5357 7.7519
July 8.1235 7.8746 8.0076
August 8.1561 7.9586 8.0766
September 8.0857 7.5317 7.7996
October 7.6507 7.3173 7.4411
November 7.4253 7.0251 7.2948
December 7.0499 6.9324 7.0078