YEARLY HIGH
6.0109 STD
YEARLY LOW
5.5039 STD
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.7788 STD

2021 UGX to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the UGX to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 12, valuing the pair at 6.0109. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 17, dropping to 5.5039.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5071 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.5420 to the December average rate of 5.9679, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.68% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 6.0109 was down 0.12% compared to the 2020 peak of 6.0181, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 30,055 STD
2020 Average 28,945 STD
Yearly Trough Low 27,519 STD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,535.27 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

āĻĒā§āϰāĻŦāĻŖāϤāĻžāϰ āϚāĻŋāĻ¤ā§āϰāĻžāϝāĻŧāύ

2021 āϏāĻžāϞ āϜ⧁āĻĄāĻŧ⧇ āĻŽāĻžāϏāĻŋāĻ• āĻ—āĻĄāĻŧ āĻ“āĻ āĻžāύāĻžāĻŽāĻžāĨ¤

6.0105
5.4995
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.6776, compared to 5.8800 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2024 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.6776
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.8800

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 0.1901 STD (High: 5.9425 / Low: 5.7524). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0571 STD (High: 5.9074 / Low: 5.8503).

October Spread (Volatile) Âą0.1901
September Spread (Stable) Âą0.0571

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0408 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0408

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 5.9679) against the same month in 2020 (average: 5.6406), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3273 (+5.80%).

2021 Avg (December) 5.9679
2020 Avg (December) 5.6406

āĻŽāĻžāϏāĻŋāĻ• āĻŦāĻŋāĻļā§āϞ⧇āώāĻŖ

āĻĒā§āϰāϤāĻŋāϟāĻŋ āĻ•ā§āϝāĻžāϞ⧇āĻ¨ā§āĻĄāĻžāϰ āĻŽāĻžāϏ⧇āϰ āĻĒāϰāĻŋāϏāĻ‚āĻ–ā§āϝāĻžāύāĻ—āϤ āϏāĻžāϰāϏāĻ‚āĻ•ā§āώ⧇āĻĒāĨ¤

Month High Low Average
January 5.5783 5.5039 5.5420
February 5.5882 5.5065 5.5577
March 5.6941 5.5489 5.6129
April 5.7994 5.6661 5.7203
May 5.8744 5.7688 5.8367
June 5.8507 5.7569 5.7959
July 5.8384 5.7587 5.8035
August 5.8972 5.8251 5.8611
September 5.9074 5.8503 5.8741
October 5.9425 5.7524 5.8540
November 5.9465 5.8453 5.9192
December 6.0109 5.9276 5.9679