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2021 VUV to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021
During 2021, the VUV to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 34.5309. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 31.2302.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.3008 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 34.0795 to the December average rate of 31.4535, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.71% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 34.5309 was up 3.03% compared to the 2020 peak of 33.5139, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VUV based on timing:
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VUV to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 33.3279, compared to 31.8284 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 1.4995 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2021 was January, with a trading range of 1.0700 UGX (High: 34.5309 / Low: 33.4609). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1670 UGX (High: 31.7381 / Low: 31.5711).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsNo sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.5601 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 34.0795) against the same month in 2020 (average: 31.8347), the exchange rate shifted by +2.2448 (+7.05%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 34.5309 | 33.4609 | 34.0795 |
| February | 34.1677 | 33.6530 | 33.9093 |
| March | 33.9607 | 33.2981 | 33.6570 |
| April | 33.4671 | 32.6433 | 33.0969 |
| May | 32.9515 | 32.2264 | 32.6829 |
| June | 32.7808 | 32.3110 | 32.5419 |
| July | 32.5830 | 31.9937 | 32.2617 |
| August | 32.0673 | 31.4658 | 31.7899 |
| September | 31.7381 | 31.5711 | 31.6383 |
| October | 32.5095 | 31.4733 | 31.9528 |
| November | 32.2068 | 31.6027 | 31.8742 |
| December | 31.8419 | 31.2302 | 31.4535 |