YEARLY HIGH
34.5309 UGX
YEARLY LOW
31.2302 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
32.5781 UGX

2021 VUV to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the VUV to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 34.5309. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 31.2302.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.3008 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 34.0795 to the December average rate of 31.4535, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.71% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 34.5309 was up 3.03% compared to the 2020 peak of 33.5139, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VUV based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 172,655 UGX
2020 Average 160,373 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 156,151 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 16,503.77 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

34.3421
31.1908
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VUV to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 33.3279, compared to 31.8284 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.4995 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 33.3279
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 31.8284

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was January, with a trading range of 1.0700 UGX (High: 34.5309 / Low: 33.4609). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1670 UGX (High: 31.7381 / Low: 31.5711).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.0700
September Spread (Stable) ±0.1670

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.5601 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5601

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 34.0795) against the same month in 2020 (average: 31.8347), the exchange rate shifted by +2.2448 (+7.05%).

2021 Avg (January) 34.0795
2020 Avg (January) 31.8347

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 34.5309 33.4609 34.0795
February 34.1677 33.6530 33.9093
March 33.9607 33.2981 33.6570
April 33.4671 32.6433 33.0969
May 32.9515 32.2264 32.6829
June 32.7808 32.3110 32.5419
July 32.5830 31.9937 32.2617
August 32.0673 31.4658 31.7899
September 31.7381 31.5711 31.6383
October 32.5095 31.4733 31.9528
November 32.2068 31.6027 31.8742
December 31.8419 31.2302 31.4535