YEARLY HIGH
1.1695 MOP
YEARLY LOW
0.7106 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.1445 MOP

2026 BOB to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the BOB to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 29, valuing the pair at 1.1695. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 29, dropping to 0.7106.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4589 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1610 to the December average rate of 1.0171, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.39% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 1.1695 was down 0.47% compared to the 2025 peak of 1.1750, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BOB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,847 MOP
2025 Average 5,807 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 3,553 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,294.37 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

1.1832
1.0020
JanuMarcMayJuly

BOB to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1658, compared to 1.0171 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1487 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1658
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0171

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was July, with a trading range of 0.4577 MOP (High: 1.1683 / Low: 0.7106). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0018 MOP (High: 1.1695 / Low: 1.1677).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.4577
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0018

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1505 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1505

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2026: 1.1681) against the same month in 2025 (average: 1.1620), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0061 (+0.53%).

2026 Avg (May) 1.1681
2025 Avg (May) 1.1620

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.1637 1.1567 1.1610
February 1.1663 1.1600 1.1646
March 1.1686 1.1609 1.1656
April 1.1685 1.1630 1.1676
May 1.1695 1.1677 1.1681
June 1.1691 1.1645 1.1676
July 1.1683 0.7106 1.0171