YEARLY HIGH
15.1771 RSD
YEARLY LOW
13.6806 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
14.4992 RSD

2018 BOB to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BOB to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 20, valuing the pair at 15.1771. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 15, dropping to 13.6806.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.4965 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 14.0668 to the December average rate of 15.0416, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.93% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 15.1771 was down 11.32% compared to the 2017 peak of 17.1141, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BOB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 75,886 RSD
2017 Average 77,589 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 68,403 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,482.48 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

15.1904
13.7459
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BOB to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 14.1392, compared to 14.8591 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.7199 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 14.1392
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 14.8591

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.6781 RSD (High: 14.8084 / Low: 14.1303). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1719 RSD (High: 14.7101 / Low: 14.5381).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.6781
July Spread (Stable) ±0.1719

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.2004 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2004

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 15.0700) against the same month in 2017 (average: 14.5707), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4993 (+3.43%).

2018 Avg (November) 15.0700
2017 Avg (November) 14.5707

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 14.4098 13.8197 14.0668
February 14.0234 13.6806 13.8663
March 13.9986 13.7426 13.8691
April 14.1492 13.8024 13.9376
May 14.8084 14.1303 14.4641
June 14.7820 14.4787 14.6314
July 14.7101 14.5381 14.6220
August 15.0529 14.6278 14.8172
September 14.8057 14.5164 14.6822
October 15.1083 14.7641 14.9219
November 15.1771 14.9699 15.0700
December 15.1697 14.9240 15.0416