YEARLY HIGH
5.3417 MDL
YEARLY LOW
3.9870 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.6299 MDL

2018 BRL to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BRL to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 24, valuing the pair at 5.3417. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 13, dropping to 3.9870.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.3547 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.2834 to the December average rate of 4.4143, the exchange rate registered a net change of -16.45% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5.3417 was down 18.33% compared to the 2017 peak of 6.5409, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 BRL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 133,542 MDL
2017 Average 144,600 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 99,674 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 33,867.86 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5.4015
3.9838
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BRL to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.8937, compared to 4.3661 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.5276 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.8937
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.3661

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was October, with a trading range of 0.5004 MDL (High: 4.7176 / Low: 4.2171). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1174 MDL (High: 4.4889 / Low: 4.3715).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.5004
December Spread (Stable) ±0.1174

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.2338 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2338

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 5.2834) against the same month in 2017 (average: 6.2762), the exchange rate shifted by -0.9928 (-15.82%).

2018 Avg (January) 5.2834
2017 Avg (January) 6.2762

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.3417 5.1550 5.2834
February 5.2779 5.0586 5.1349
March 5.1990 4.9530 5.0533
April 4.9900 4.7266 4.8283
May 4.7314 4.4590 4.5945
June 4.5458 4.3092 4.4680
July 4.5122 4.2838 4.3762
August 4.4655 4.0388 4.2462
September 4.2118 3.9870 4.1019
October 4.7176 4.2171 4.5278
November 4.6347 4.3713 4.5304
December 4.4889 4.3715 4.4143