YEARLY HIGH
4.7557 MDL
YEARLY LOW
4.0877 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.4486 MDL

2019 BRL to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BRL to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 23, valuing the pair at 4.7557. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 27, dropping to 4.0877.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6680 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.5793 to the December average rate of 4.2017, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.24% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 4.7557 was down 10.97% compared to the 2018 peak of 5.3417, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 BRL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 118,892 MDL
2018 Average 115,685 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 102,193 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 16,699.09 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

4.7422
4.1397
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BRL to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.5577, compared to 4.3395 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2183 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.5577
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.3395

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.4110 MDL (High: 4.6439 / Low: 4.2329). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1056 MDL (High: 4.7455 / Low: 4.6399).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.4110
July Spread (Stable) ±0.1056

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.2997 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2997

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2019: 4.6920) against the same month in 2018 (average: 4.4680), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2240 (+5.01%).

2019 Avg (June) 4.6920
2018 Avg (June) 4.4680

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.7025 4.3980 4.5793
February 4.6594 4.5342 4.5945
March 4.5669 4.3285 4.4668
April 4.5829 4.4627 4.5266
May 4.6457 4.3601 4.4873
June 4.7557 4.6450 4.6920
July 4.7455 4.6399 4.6851
August 4.6439 4.2329 4.3854
September 4.4009 4.2121 4.2963
October 4.3788 4.1632 4.2782
November 4.3694 4.0877 4.1900
December 4.2731 4.1247 4.2017