YEARLY HIGH
4.4777 SCR
YEARLY LOW
3.2337 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.7545 SCR

2018 BRL to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BRL to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 25, valuing the pair at 4.4777. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 13, dropping to 3.2337.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2440 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.3372 to the December average rate of 3.5149, the exchange rate registered a net change of -18.96% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.4777 was up 0.50% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.4556, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 BRL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 111,943 SCR
2017 Average 106,395 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 80,843 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 31,099.07 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.4378
3.2313
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BRL to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.9902, compared to 3.5188 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4715 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.9902
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.5188

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.3892 SCR (High: 3.6687 / Low: 3.2796). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0923 SCR (High: 3.5707 / Low: 3.4784).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.3892
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0923

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.2385 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2385

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 4.3372) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.1854), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1518 (+3.63%).

2018 Avg (January) 4.3372
2017 Avg (January) 4.1854

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.4777 4.2365 4.3372
February 4.4213 4.0679 4.1927
March 4.3467 4.0495 4.1612
April 4.1530 3.8356 3.9553
May 3.8750 3.5933 3.7168
June 3.6438 3.4479 3.5780
July 3.6723 3.4439 3.5479
August 3.6687 3.2796 3.4703
September 3.5762 3.2337 3.3319
October 3.7614 3.3863 3.6328
November 3.6915 3.4610 3.6147
December 3.5707 3.4784 3.5149