YEARLY HIGH
3.6584 DJF
YEARLY LOW
3.1252 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.3903 DJF

2012 BTN to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the BTN to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 3, valuing the pair at 3.6584. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 27, dropping to 3.1252.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5332 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.4845 to the December average rate of 3.2522, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.67% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 3.6584 was down 9.35% compared to the 2011 peak of 4.0356, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,292 DJF
2011 Average 19,112 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 15,626 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,666.17 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

3.6643
3.1540
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.4341, compared to 3.3465 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0875 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.4341
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.3465

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was October, with a trading range of 0.2944 DJF (High: 3.5935 / Low: 3.2990). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0429 DJF (High: 3.4796 / Low: 3.4366).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.2944
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0429

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1691 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1691

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2012: 3.6218) against the same month in 2011 (average: 3.9112), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2894 (-7.40%).

2012 Avg (February) 3.6218
2011 Avg (February) 3.9112

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.6218 3.3559 3.4845
February 3.6584 3.5635 3.6218
March 3.5967 3.4889 3.5489
April 3.5252 3.3909 3.4609
May 3.4034 3.1843 3.2918
June 3.2601 3.1252 3.1965
July 3.4810 3.1932 3.3322
August 3.4796 3.4366 3.4601
September 3.5584 3.2718 3.4313
October 3.5935 3.2990 3.3583
November 3.3100 3.1920 3.2449
December 3.2849 3.2281 3.2522