2016 BTN to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.6859 DJF

YEARLY LOW

2.5841 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.6451 DJF

2016 BTN to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BTN to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 2.6859. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 28, dropping to 2.5841.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1019 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.6417 to the December average rate of 2.6296, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.46% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2.6859 was down 7.23% compared to the 2015 peak of 2.8953, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,430 DJF

2015 Average 13,858 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 12,920 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 509.44 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

2.6801

2.5963

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.6447, compared to 2.6455 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0008 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.6447

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.6455

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0817 DJF (High: 2.6740 / Low: 2.5924). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0151 DJF (High: 2.6576 / Low: 2.6426).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0817

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0151

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0384 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0384

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 2.6417) against the same month in 2015 (average: 2.8594), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2177 (-7.61%).

2016 Avg (January) 2.6417

2015 Avg (January) 2.8594

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.6859	2.6072	2.6417
February	2.6251	2.5841	2.6033
March	2.6836	2.6110	2.6541
April	2.6836	2.6649	2.6731
May	2.6789	2.6283	2.6541
June	2.6666	2.6159	2.6419
July	2.6504	2.6271	2.6386
August	2.6576	2.6426	2.6502
September	2.6722	2.6451	2.6571
October	2.6736	2.6515	2.6628
November	2.6740	2.5924	2.6345
December	2.6543	2.6047	2.6296