YEARLY HIGH
0.3740 HNL
YEARLY LOW
0.3239 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3504 HNL

2018 BTN to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BTN to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 0.3740. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 9, dropping to 0.3239.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0501 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3714 to the December average rate of 0.3435, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.50% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.3740 was down 6.27% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.3990, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,870 HNL
2017 Average 1,804 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 1,620 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 250.38 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.3758
0.3228
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3613, compared to 0.3395 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0218 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3613
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3395

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 0.0260 HNL (High: 0.3501 / Low: 0.3241). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0026 HNL (High: 0.3646 / Low: 0.3620).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0260
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0026

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0114 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0114

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.3714) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.3429), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0285 (+8.30%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.3714
2017 Avg (January) 0.3429

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3740 0.3682 0.3714
February 0.3710 0.3623 0.3666
March 0.3646 0.3620 0.3634
April 0.3658 0.3539 0.3605
May 0.3557 0.3495 0.3523
June 0.3574 0.3493 0.3537
July 0.3511 0.3475 0.3492
August 0.3508 0.3385 0.3452
September 0.3385 0.3306 0.3338
October 0.3308 0.3239 0.3272
November 0.3501 0.3295 0.3379
December 0.3501 0.3241 0.3435