YEARLY HIGH
0.2939 HNL
YEARLY LOW
0.2773 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.2849 HNL

2026 BTN to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the BTN to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 0.2939. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 23, dropping to 0.2773.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0166 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2910 to the December average rate of 0.2796, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.91% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 0.2939 was down 4.41% compared to the 2025 peak of 0.3074, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,469 HNL
2025 Average 1,494 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 1,387 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 82.78 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

0.2929
0.2778
JanuMarcMayJuly

BTN to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2858, compared to 0.2796 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0062 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2858
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2796

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was March, with a trading range of 0.0115 HNL (High: 0.2911 / Low: 0.2796). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0029 HNL (High: 0.2806 / Low: 0.2777).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0115
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0029

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0061 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0061

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2026: 0.2910) against the same month in 2025 (average: 0.2954), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0044 (-1.47%).

2026 Avg (January) 0.2910
2025 Avg (January) 0.2954

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.2939 0.2859 0.2910
February 0.2929 0.2871 0.2916
March 0.2911 0.2796 0.2860
April 0.2885 0.2806 0.2852
May 0.2806 0.2777 0.2791
June 0.2850 0.2781 0.2818
July 0.2828 0.2773 0.2796