YEARLY HIGH
4.1298 HUF
YEARLY LOW
3.4898 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.8126 HUF

2014 BTN to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the BTN to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 4.1298. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 3.4898.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6400 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.5671 to the December average rate of 4.0297, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.97% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 4.1298 was down 5.77% compared to the 2013 peak of 4.3827, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,649 HUF
2013 Average 19,185 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 17,449 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,200.06 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

4.0759
3.5208
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.6833, compared to 3.9418 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2585 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.6833
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.9418

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 0.1964 HUF (High: 4.1298 / Low: 3.9335). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0820 HUF (High: 3.7032 / Low: 3.6212).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.1964
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0820

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0395 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0395

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 4.0297) against the same month in 2013 (average: 3.5347), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4950 (+14.00%).

2014 Avg (December) 4.0297
2013 Avg (December) 3.5347

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.6830 3.4898 3.5671
February 3.7032 3.6212 3.6471
March 3.7589 3.6305 3.6957
April 3.7285 3.6456 3.6874
May 3.8004 3.6530 3.7362
June 3.8189 3.7309 3.7666
July 3.8717 3.7790 3.8094
August 3.9590 3.8164 3.8728
September 4.0411 3.9492 3.9948
October 4.0194 3.8910 3.9553
November 4.0665 3.9224 3.9887
December 4.1298 3.9335 4.0297