YEARLY HIGH
4.3439 HUF
YEARLY LOW
3.8634 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.1300 HUF

2019 BTN to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BTN to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 29, valuing the pair at 4.3439. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 30, dropping to 3.8634.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4805 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.9639 to the December average rate of 4.1840, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.56% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 4.3439 was up 5.11% compared to the 2018 peak of 4.1328, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,720 HUF
2018 Average 19,771 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 19,317 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,402.61 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

4.2710
3.9092
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.0537, compared to 4.2063 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1527 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.0537
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.2063

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.2227 HUF (High: 4.2770 / Low: 4.0543). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0862 HUF (High: 4.1585 / Low: 4.0723).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.2227
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0862

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0756 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0756

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2019: 4.2409) against the same month in 2018 (average: 3.8695), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3714 (+9.60%).

2019 Avg (September) 4.2409
2018 Avg (September) 3.8695

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.0626 3.8634 3.9639
February 4.0051 3.8698 3.9394
March 4.1398 3.9222 4.0294
April 4.1585 4.0723 4.1158
May 4.2057 4.0932 4.1619
June 4.1830 4.0625 4.1117
July 4.2807 4.1337 4.2232
August 4.2770 4.0543 4.1476
September 4.3439 4.1428 4.2409
October 4.3336 4.1531 4.2178
November 4.2813 4.1505 4.2246
December 4.2432 4.1373 4.1840