2016 CAD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2740.7012 UGX

YEARLY LOW

2383.9413 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

2579.9707 UGX

2016 CAD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the CAD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 11, valuing the pair at 2740.7012. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 19, dropping to 2383.9413.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 356.7599 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2428.7865 to the December average rate of 2697.1411, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.05% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2740.7012 was down 3.76% compared to the 2015 peak of 2847.7054, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,703,506 UGX

2015 Average 12,649,945 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 11,919,706 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,783,799.27 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

2723.9765

2401.9511

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CAD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2542.7876, compared to 2617.1538 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 74.3662 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2542.7876

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2617.1538

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 114.1708 UGX (High: 2700.5692 / Low: 2586.3984). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 45.1019 UGX (High: 2509.8830 / Low: 2464.7811).

November Spread (Volatile) ±114.1708

February Spread (Stable) ±45.1019

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 21.0187 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -21.0187

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 2697.1411) against the same month in 2015 (average: 2450.8878), the exchange rate shifted by +246.2533 (+10.05%).

2016 Avg (December) 2697.1411

2015 Avg (December) 2450.8878

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2489.4724	2383.9413	2428.7865
February	2509.8830	2464.7811	2485.8789
March	2594.6118	2487.0461	2543.2466
April	2658.8508	2554.9015	2604.8579
May	2646.2456	2560.0238	2583.8392
June	2635.8068	2569.8682	2610.1165
July	2641.6843	2559.4371	2593.6373
August	2631.4116	2560.5497	2594.3073
September	2626.2306	2556.9299	2582.6348
October	2637.1663	2563.7729	2589.2264
November	2700.5692	2586.3984	2645.9757
December	2740.7012	2634.8470	2697.1411