YEARLY HIGH
2855.2737 UGX
YEARLY LOW
2715.9973 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
2792.0674 UGX

2019 CAD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the CAD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 25, valuing the pair at 2855.2737. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 2715.9973.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 139.2763 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2784.9677 to the December average rate of 2790.3064, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.19% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 2855.2737 was down 4.34% compared to the 2018 peak of 2984.8452, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 14,276,368 UGX
2018 Average 14,375,704 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 13,579,987 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 696,381.67 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

2827.1551
2766.9365
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CAD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2790.0690, compared to 2794.0658 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 3.9968 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2790.0690
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2794.0658

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 107.8395 UGX (High: 2823.8368 / Low: 2715.9973). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 32.2118 UGX (High: 2835.7462 / Low: 2803.5344).

January Spread (Volatile) ±107.8395
July Spread (Stable) ±32.2118

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 41.8772 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -41.8772

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2019: 2804.1207) against the same month in 2018 (average: 2901.1115), the exchange rate shifted by -96.9908 (-3.34%).

2019 Avg (October) 2804.1207
2018 Avg (October) 2901.1115

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2823.8368 2715.9973 2784.9677
February 2813.2396 2752.7037 2782.5560
March 2791.3172 2752.3983 2771.9547
April 2821.6548 2771.5470 2793.5801
May 2814.4195 2777.9448 2799.1436
June 2836.5439 2771.4380 2808.2119
July 2835.7462 2803.5344 2822.1369
August 2801.4171 2721.7552 2780.2596
September 2794.4503 2760.0652 2775.3401
October 2855.2737 2750.9166 2804.1207
November 2822.6720 2771.8726 2792.2312
December 2817.7257 2777.5119 2790.3064